Environmentally friendly transportation
Reyer Gerlagh and Inge van den Bijgaart (jointly with Hans Nijland and Thomas Michielsen,) at Tilburg Sustainability Center construct a simple model that generates predictions regarding the effect of fiscal policies on average CO2 emissions of new cars, and then test the model empirically. The empirical strategy combines a diverse series of data. First, they use a large database of vehicle‐specific taxes in 15 EU countries over 2001‐2010 to construct a measure for the vehicle registration and annual road tax levels, and separately, for the CO2 sensitivity of these taxes.
They find that for many countries the fiscal policies have become more sensitive to CO2 emissions of new cars. They then use these constructed measures to estimate the effect of fiscal policies on the CO2 emissions of the new car fleet. The increased CO2‐sensitivity of registration taxes have reduced the CO2 emission intensity of the average new car by 1.3 percent, partly through an induced increase of the share of diesel‐fuelled cars by 6.5 percentage points. Higher fuel taxes lead to the purchase of more fuel-efficient cars, but higher annual road taxes have no or an adverse effect.