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Is there a green paradox?
By Hoel, Michael
Memorandum 13/2010
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Abstract |
A sufficiently rapidly rising carbon tax may increase near-term emissions compared with the case of no carbon tax. Even so, such a carbon tax path may reduce total costs related to climate change, since the tax may reduce total carbon extraction. A government cannot commit to a speci.c carbon tax rate in the distant future. For reasonable assumptions about expectation formation, a higher present carbon tax will reduce near-term carbon emissions. Moreover, whatever the expectations about future tax rates are, near-term emissions will decline for a sufficiently high carbon tax. However, if the near-term tax rate for some reason is set below its optimal level, increased concern for the climate may change taxes in a manner that increases near-term emissions. |
| JEL Classification:
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Q31, Q38, Q41, Q48, Q54, Q58 |
| Keywords:
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climate change, exhaustible resources, green paradox, carbon tax |
| Project:
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3162 Petroleum industry research in economics and economic management
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